Bearish Gold ideaThe idea is somehow risky due to geopolitical tensions in the middle east conflict, but it could still play out for short first then bullish to a new all time high.
Futures market
GOLD WEDGE COMPLETION, BEARISH SWEEP ACTIVEJust as seen in the analysis, we see gold has filled its trend channel thereby giving the market a bearish stance creating bearish pull until the next POI
WE have our eyes on 3383 as a substantial zone for pullback correction zone and if any change in market sentiment, it would be updated ....
20250616-XAUUSD IdeaThe flag pattern in the major time frame did not succeed. Instead of breaking below the 3295 price level, the price was rejected at the top of the descending channel. Looking back, I now interpret this as a leading diagonal that initiated an uptrend. After reaching the previous high at the 3435 price level, a rising wedge pattern has formed. On the smaller time frame, there are shorting opportunities. Long opportunities may appear when the price hit the uptrend line.
Gold rallies amid global unrestGold continues to assert its strong position as it surged further last week, reaching $3,440 per ounce by the weekend. This upward momentum has been driven by two key factors: escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve may soon begin cutting interest rates.
Many experts believe the bullish trend is likely to extend into this week, with the next psychological target set at $3,500. That said, a brief pullback cannot be ruled out after such a rapid ascent.
From my perspective, following the recent period of consolidation, gold appears to be regaining strength for another attempt at new highs. The ongoing global political uncertainty continues to fuel demand for this safe-haven asset.
As gold pushes higher, investors should ride the trend—but with caution. Staying closely informed on Fed policy shifts and geopolitical developments will be essential for making well-timed, rational trading decisions in this sensitive market environment.
Aligning with smart money concepts and institutional order flow.XAUUSD is currently experiencing a significant decline after sweeping the liquidity resting above its previous highs. This downward movement has also resulted in a break of the key trendline, signaling potential for further bearish momentum. The market now appears to be heading toward the marked Fair Value Gap (FVG) within the demand zone, where additional liquidity is also positioned along the broken trendline. Furthermore, there's another FVG located below the current price level, providing a strong confluence for a continued drop. It’s advisable to remain patient and wait for the price to reach this FVG zone. Once it does, we could potentially find a high-probability buying opportunity from that level, aligning with smart money concepts and institutional order flow!
DYOR! Not Financial Advice.
GOLD/USD – Bullish Reversal Pattern FormingGOLD/USD – Bullish Reversal Pattern Forming 🟢📈
📊 Chart Analysis:
The chart shows a strong Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is a classic bullish reversal signal:
🔹 Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder – Marked with orange circles, both found support near the 3,263 level (purple line), suggesting strong buying interest at this zone.
🔹 Head – The lowest point in between the shoulders, also bouncing from support.
🔹 Resistance Zone – Marked with red arrows around 3,500–3,520. This zone has rejected price action multiple times in the past.
🔹 Support Zone – Marked below 3,200, where previous consolidation and buying took place.
📈 Projected Move:
The neckline breakout suggests a potential move toward the 3,520+ level. A minor pullback is expected before continuation. If price breaks above resistance, we could see a strong bullish rally.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 3,263 🟩
Resistance: 3,500–3,520 🟥
Potential Target After Breakout: 3,550+ 🎯
✅ Bias: Bullish above 3,263 support
⚠️ Invalidation: A break below the neckline would cancel the bullish setup
The Uncertainty of Gold Gold exhibited considerable uncertainty, as sellers pushed the price back to nearly its starting point this week. Is it profit taking? What do institutions know that we don't, as they increased their long positions this week? 81% of institutions are long. So, where the whales are is where I want to be.
Note: This is not advice. This is for educational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD: Escalating Middle East Tensions Keep Bulls in ChargeThe chart shows that the gold price has successfully broken through the key resistance level of $3,400 and is currently fluctuating between $3,420 and $3,450, indicating that bullish forces are dominant in the short term. The $3,450 level has become a new resistance. If broken, it will attract more trend - chasing funds and drive the price higher; the $3,400 level has turned into strong support, and a breakdown could trigger panic selling.
The K - line chart shows strong bullish momentum recently, but the lengthening upper shadows suggest that bearish forces are also stepping in at high levels, intensifying the tug - of - war between bulls and bears. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross formed, but the significant deviation of the price from the moving averages indicates a need for a correction to repair technical indicators.
In the short term, geopolitical conflicts may continue to support the upward movement of gold prices. However, the situation in the Middle East, U.S. economic data, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy are all key variables. If the conflicts ease or the Fed turns hawkish, the gold price will face correction pressures.
XAUUSD
buy@3410-3420
tp:3440-3450
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold Forming VCP on DailyGold is setting up for another leg up. Keep a close eyes on this. Price is trading over both 10 and 20 DMA. All signs pointing towards bullishness
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis - 16 June 20254H Chart: Market Structure & Bias
Gold’s 4-hour chart shows a bullish structure: price has been making higher highs and higher lows (a valid Break of Structure/BOS)
No bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) signal is present to suggest a reversal, so the overall bias remains bullish. In other words, the trend is intact and buyers still dominate. Key moving averages (not shown) also slope upward, reinforcing a “buy the dip” bias. We note that price recently stalled near 3427–3435, forming a small consolidation. This clustered area around the recent high acts as a near-term supply (resistance) zone (a possible order block where big players sold).
On the downside, prior support is visible around 3380–3400, where buyers stepped in on earlier pullbacks. In summary, the 4H bias is bullish, with dips into demand areas likely to attract buying interest.
Support/Demand Zones: At ~3380–3400 there is significant buying interest (a demand zone), as well as a minor support band around 3330–3350. These areas coincide with key Fibonacci retracements (around 50–62% of the last rally), making them high-probability bounce zones.
Resistance/Supply Zones: On the upside, the 3420–3435 range is resistance (recent swing high and a bearish order-block area).
Farther above, 3470–3485 is a major resistance cluster (around prior highs and a 61.8% extension), where supply may re-emerge.
Key Zones (4H Chart)
Buy Zone 1 (Demand): 3380–3400. This zone acted as support on prior pullbacks and aligns with ~50%–62% Fibonacci retracement levels. It represents a demand area (many buy orders), so bounces are likely here.
Buy Zone 2 (Support): 3330–3350. A deeper support area where buyers piled in previously. It coincides with the 61.8% Fib retrace of the last leg, making it a strong multi-purpose support/demand zone.
Sell Zone 1 (Supply): 3420–3435. This marks the recent 4H swing high and a potential bearish order block.
It has already capped rallies, so price may stall or reverse here on a retest.
Sell Zone 2 (Resistance): 3470–3485. A higher cluster of resistance (major psychological level and Fib extension) where selling could appear if gold extends its rally. This is a logical profit-taking area.
Each of these zones is a range (not just a line) to allow for some trade flexibility. We watch for price action (like pin bars or breakouts) within these ranges to signal entries.
1H Chart: Trade Setups
Buy at 3385–3395 (Long).
Entry Zone: 3385–3395 (just above the lower demand zone).
Stop-Loss: ~10 USD below the zone (around 3375).
Take-Profit: 3420 (minor resistance) and 3460 (next supply cluster).
Reason: This zone combines the 4H demand area and ~50% Fib support.
We expect bulls to defend this zone.
Trigger: Wait for a bullish reversal candle on 1H (e.g. a strong bullish pin bar or engulfing candle with a long lower wick). Such a candle (long-tail wick) at support indicates a liquidity grab by buyers. Alternatively, a clear 1H BOS above the last minor swing high would confirm strength and serve as a breakout entry.
Buy on 3425–3430 breakout (Long).
Entry Zone: Break above 3425–3430 (just above the recent 4H high).
Stop-Loss: ~10 USD below entry (around 3415).
Take-Profit: 3480–3490 (next resistance zone).
Reason: A push through the 3420–3435 supply zone would show buyers overcoming sellers. This would keep the uptrend running. The breakout opens room toward the 3470–3485 resistance area.
Trigger: Enter on a 1H bullish breakout/close above 3430 (a new higher high) – i.e. a bullish BOS confirming continued uptrend. Optionally look for a pullback to 3425 as a retest entry if the breakout is swift.
Buy at 3330–3340 (Long).
Entry Zone: 3330–3340 (deeper support zone on 4H).
Stop-Loss: ~10 USD below the zone (around 3320).
Take-Profit: 3380 (first target), then 3420.
Reason: This is a strong support/demand area (4H 61.8% Fib support). A drop here would be a deeper pullback – a higher-risk entry with a bigger reward if buyers step in.
Trigger: Look for a clear bullish reversal on 1H (e.g. hammer/engulfing candle) or a shift in structure (price fails to make a new low and instead forms a higher low). A bullish candlestick in this zone implies demand is defending it.
Each setup is aligned with the 4H bullish bias (we’re looking for long opportunities at support zones or breakouts). The ~$10 stops are set just beyond the defined entry zone, giving each trade a favorable risk/reward.
Takeaway: Gold’s 4-hour trend is up. We favor buying near the identified demand/support zones (or on a confirmed breakout above recent highs) and targeting the next resistance levels. Use tight stops (~$10 beyond each zone) and aim for 2:1+ reward on these high-probability setups.
Trade with the trend and respect the key zones above.
goldgold on 15 min time frame is in range . after a good rally now gold has taken a pause so look for a breakout or buy at support
XAUUSD SHORT TO BUY looking at xauusd we anticipate a short to buy due to several reasons
momentum toward the previous month level was low and interest to keep buying is fading this may lead to the need of accumulating more orders by LIQUIDATION PROCESS or by SUPERMARKET MENTAL method
price failed to stay above previous week high and closing price also this indicates further reduction in price
Geopolitical conflict re-emerges, price points to 3500?Information summary:
The powder keg of the Middle East situation exploded. A new round of fierce fighting between Israel and Iran has pushed the global financial market into a risk-averse storm. In just one day, gold soared. In the early Asian session on Monday, the price of gold was unstoppable, hitting a nearly seven-week high of $3451/ounce. Under the dark clouds of geopolitical conflict, gold bulls are in full swing, and the $3500 mark seems to be within reach.
In addition, the market will face two major tests this week: the monthly rate of US retail sales and the highly anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
Technical analysis:
At the daily level, the MA10, MA7, and MA5 moving averages are diverging upward, the RSI indicator turns upward, and the gold price is running steadily in the upper and middle track area of the Bollinger band. In the four-hour cycle, the moving average forms a golden cross arrangement and the opening continues to expand. The price continues to rise along the MA10 daily moving average, and the Bollinger band also maintains an upward opening shape.
The current market is dominated by geopolitical risks in the Middle East, and the gold price is consolidating at a high level. If the situation does not change, the gold price will most likely remain above $3,400 today, and it is even very likely to refresh the historical high of $3,500 today and tomorrow. Therefore, before the trend changes, the long strategy is still the best choice.
Operation strategy;
Buy near 3420, stop loss 3410, target 3460-3470.
XAUUSD: June 16 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3500, support below 3338
Four-hour chart resistance 3470, support below 3419
One-hour chart resistance 3450, support below 3428-19
Gold news analysis: Last Friday, the further intensification of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East promoted the rise of risk aversion sentiment. Spot gold once broke through $3446, setting a new high in two months. This wave of rise was driven by multiple factors, including the weak inflation data in the United States last week, which further strengthened the market's expectations of the Fed's interest rate cut, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold. On Monday, gold prices are still likely to continue to benefit from risk aversion and are expected to challenge the 3500 mark in the short term. In addition, this week's market will also be affected by the Fed's resolution and Powell's speech. Investors should pay attention to the potential impact of the Fed's policy trends on gold prices. It is worth noting that US President Trump will visit Canada from June 15 to 17 to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. The speech during the summit may also cause gold price fluctuations, which needs to be paid attention to.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour support 3419 and the one-hour support 3428. The pressure above focuses on the suppression near the daily level 3500. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed 3419 is the first-line barrier. Before the four-hour level does not fall below this position, continue to maintain the rhythm of buying on dips and look to 3500.
Buy: 3419near SL: 3414
Buy: 3428near SL: 3423
The chart you've shared is a 15-minute gold (XAU/USD) CFD tradinThe chart you've shared is a 15-minute gold (XAU/USD) CFD trading chart, and it illustrates a bullish trade setup based on price action and possible harmonic or pattern-based analysis. Here's the breakdown of the idea:
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📊 Trade Idea Overview:
Asset: Gold (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15-minute
Bias: Bullish (Buy/Long Setup)
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🔍 Technical Details:
Pattern Observed: Possible double bottom or bullish corrective wave structure (Elliott Wave or ABC correction completion).
Entry Point: Around $3,430.40 (market price at time of setup).
Take Profit (TP): ~$3,450.31
Stop Loss (SL): ~$3,420.03
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📐 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio:
Approximately 2:1, indicating a favorable reward relative to the risk.
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📈 Rationale for Bullish Bias:
Price has completed a series of lower highs and lower lows (a corrective phase).
Price has bounced from a key support zone (~$3,429), suggesting buyers are stepping in.
The blue projection arrow indicates an expectation of upward continuation.
Volume is relatively steady with no significant bearish spike, supporting a potential reversal.
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✅ Confirmation Indicators (Optional Additions):
You may want to look for:
Bullish candlestick patterns at the entry point (e.g., hammer, engulfing).
RSI divergence or bounce from oversold.
MACD crossover or histogram shift.
Trendline break confirmation on lower timeframes.
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⚠️ Trade Management Tip:
Consider trailing your stop once price reaches halfway to TP.
Watch for reaction at interim resistance levels (e.g., $3,440 area).
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Would you like me to generate a trade plan or script this into a trading journal format?
The golden opportunity comes again.This week, gold showed a slow bullish upward pattern, rising repeatedly and circuitously, and finally closed positive on the weekly line. On Friday, it was blocked twice at the high level of 3445, and the closing price remained sideways. The market is expected to continue the upward trend next week. If it breaks through 3445, it is expected to further challenge the 3500 mark or even set a new high. Combined with the recent fundamentals and the continued warming of the geopolitical situation, it provides solid support for bulls. However, the current market shock sweep is still the main rhythm, and it is not advisable to blindly chase highs in operation. It is still recommended to focus on retracement and long positions. The key support of the daily line refers to the top and bottom conversion position of 3403 and the low point of 3419 on Friday. If it falls back to the above area, you can rely on the support to arrange long positions at the right time. The overall trend is still inclined to bulls, and short positions can only be tried with a light position. Remember that strict risk control is required against the trend. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy at the bottom, and pay attention to it in time.
Operation suggestion: Gold is recommended to go long near 3405-3400, with the target looking at 3445 and 3465. If it is strong, rely on the support of 3420-3415 area and choose the opportunity to go long.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time. 🌐
XAUUSD GOLD ANNALISE ACCORDING PERFORMANCE 16/6/2025sell 3445 3450
take profit 3435
take profit 3425
take profit 3415
stop los 3458
S&P Sellers got LIQUIDATED we are Bullish again.Good day Trader :)
Here’s another market breakdown for you, focusing on the S&P futures and where I believe this week's candlestick is likely to expand.
Late last week (Wednesday), I mentioned the potential for a retracement, not a reversal , and at the start of this week, we saw exactly that. Sellers were quickly liquidated, and the market has resumed its bullish momentum.
Looking ahead, my expectation is for price to expand toward the 6,075 level.
In this analysis, I’ll walk you through a quick review of last week’s price action and provide an in-depth breakdown of why I believe this target is within reach.
Let’s dive in... OneCandlestickAtATime
Referenced Idea
WTI(20250616)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
71.11
Support and resistance levels:
78.59
75.79
73.98
68.24
66.43
63.64
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 73.98, consider buying in, the first target price is 75.79
If the price breaks through 71.11, consider selling in, the first target price is 68.24
Is this week a chance for gold to break through 3,500?
⭐️Gold Information:
Gold prices surged for the third consecutive trading day on Friday as geopolitical tensions intensified after Israel launched a military strike on Iranian targets, including nuclear facilities and key leaders. The escalation of the situation triggered widespread risk aversion in global markets, stimulating demand for safe-haven assets. As of the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,431.
Gold surged to a five-week high of $3,446 before giving up gains as traders took profits before the weekend. Geopolitical turmoil, coupled with dovish signals released by recent US inflation data, reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin to cut interest rates later this year - despite improved consumer confidence. These factors together support the bullish momentum of gold.
⭐️Personal Comment:
Continued military tensions next week are a big driving force for gold prices to continue to break through 3,500
. 🔥 Technical aspects:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices in the H4 framework, the following important key areas can be identified:
Resistance: $3488, $3502, $3562
Support: $3382, $3342
XAU/USD(20250617) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3419
Support and resistance levels:
3486
3461
3445
3394
3378
3353
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3445, consider buying in, the first target price is 3461
If the price breaks through 3419, consider selling in, the first target price is 3394
6.16 Can gold reach a new high?6.16 Can gold reach a new high?
As the war between Israel and Iran in the Middle East continues to heat up, the international gold price has continued to break through strongly.
"Iran is seriously considering whether to block the Strait of Hormuz, said Esmail Kosari, a member of the Iranian Parliament's Security Committee." If the conflict between Iran and Israel continues to escalate in the past two days, gold will continue to hit a new high.
If you listened to my advice on Friday and opened a position below 3420, you can pay attention to the support of 3430, because there has been a high move at the opening today, but it only broke through 3450. It proves that the short pressure is very large, and the strength of today's correction will not be small. If the correction breaks through 3430, it may continue to fall to around 3415. At this time, you can continue to increase your position. If the correction does not break through 3430, you can increase your position with a light position.
Pay attention to the international situation at any time. The price of gold has been fluctuating at a high level. If it can stand firm, then the recent price of gold at 3500 is not its limit.
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
Expect a Retracement... BUT not a Reversal in S&P Hi Trading Community,
Just a quick update on what I expect price action to look like for the ES over the next couple of days.
As you know, I've been bullish on this move — and I still am. However, there is some justification for a potential retracement to key levels. In particular, my attention is on the 5928 area.
It's too early to call this a full reversal, but let’s stay sharp in our trading and continue learning.
#OneCandleStickAtATime
